Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 9:44:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 9:44:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 9:45:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
75% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 748.65
Unexplained QUAI: 247.35
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 551
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
996 QUAI
551 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a • 0x0001C94E10F5F3EAdae19dF37e480226381125cB.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 996 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a • 0x0001C94E10F5F3EAdae19dF37e480226381125cB.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 9:44:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (25% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
Net sender
Unknown type
634.5 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0001C94E10F5F3EAdae19dF37e480226381125cB
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006293f35a1Db8E486fDcE5E6e951D0fe2b1d3B5
Net receiver
Unknown type
282 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
89.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
89.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
11 tx
6,611.23 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:43:23 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
996 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:44:35 P.M.
-2 min
8 tx
5,874.5 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:42:11 P.M.
+2 min
11 tx
5,824.65 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:45:47 P.M.
-3 min
7 tx
4,883.88 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:40:59 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:46:59 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate5 tx
7,050 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:39:47 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
2,107.14 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:48:10 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
352.5 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:44:57 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x0001C94E10F5F3EAdae19dF37e480226381125cB
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
25.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:44:57 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x001d005c030ce3af1c84b6b3f5522147d2f7869399d5a53fe6a0fd1824c914c6
89.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:44:57 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000a003223d739a212d79d850e8376b7c60517d2ac034cee849a407b90574219
282 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:44:57 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x006293f35a1Db8E486fDcE5E6e951D0fe2b1d3B5
Tx: 0x0059002797b7fbe12ca6596326b85eaf10da09d56dabed45825098691b5a13d7
352.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:44:57 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x0001C94E10F5F3EAdae19dF37e480226381125cB
Tx: 0x007800423b40f6e203d1b462c0863d50459f55194a95e2e6fafac8858ff8549f