Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 9:42:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 9:42:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 9:43:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,515.35
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 546.47
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
1.2x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
5,874.5 QUAI
546.47 QI
Avg confidence
68.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a • 0x000DAfCFADBAc1D3D3A221A01b43fdD824cF5c8e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5875 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a • 0x000DAfCFADBAc1D3D3A221A01b43fdD824cF5c8e.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 9:42:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
Net sender
Unknown type
6,425.37 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x000DAfCFADBAc1D3D3A221A01b43fdD824cF5c8e
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,820 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c58344D85c4A49686589D51fB53894EB1BAEA
Net receiver
Unknown type
846 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00619A269fC1C974D7A0F0bF3630F16CE673bFdf
Net receiver
Unknown type
846 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0071AEbBF3EAb3cB6552cf98200B4574Ab530D4E
Net receiver
Unknown type
846 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 546.47 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
5,874.5 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:42:11 P.M.
-1 min
7 tx
4,883.88 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:40:59 P.M.
+1 min
11 tx
6,611.23 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:43:23 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
7,050 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:39:47 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
705 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:38:35 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
996 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:44:35 P.M.
+4 min
11 tx
5,824.65 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:45:47 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate13 tx
13,390.56 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:37:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,820 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:50 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x000DAfCFADBAc1D3D3A221A01b43fdD824cF5c8e
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
846 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:53 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x004c58344D85c4A49686589D51fB53894EB1BAEA
Tx: 0x0031000222b057cae41c4959768231326a272b182e5a3bc93e5a1823f37e4ce8
2,820 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:50 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x000DAfCFADBAc1D3D3A221A01b43fdD824cF5c8e
Tx: 0x0035000b2507ee4bfe7401125ba370ca975e5434972edfd1291d3a2b380fd952
317.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:50 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x005aA8295EB4B0dBEE44E5498CaA595a9bB851Bf
Tx: 0x0006004b16c9c8028943ca33f8940af8878d43492ae38d88c6b23cd79f843933
274.43 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:33 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006f002f615612b297feebaa38f936d35eb753322a544077ff2f1046841cb14b
750.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:23 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x001AD12Db2726488B242950481Aaa2a795FA7E63
Tx: 0x000a0009e60d422552d81faf0b8b82252f14fa7c3278d2ac1c8cd13a177b22bf
272.03 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:14 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0070003e12e00ff684f5c9bbd93b031c60b253d665e4112f0b5beb4f25acfb15
89.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:13 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3
Tx: 0x005e00586052435f9850b33c33a648710e4aff5a26d4729d2434bf4e77aafc5d
846 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:13 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x00619A269fC1C974D7A0F0bF3630F16CE673bFdf
Tx: 0x0030005c6bd5509e42cd16a7cb12f0dfa05eaf2ac8d3883a71cf48f5747b7a23
846 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:13 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x0071AEbBF3EAb3cB6552cf98200B4574Ab530D4E
Tx: 0x00460010e19fb8caaf771cb2332b7cb0ac5052d066e1e4807ebb0385070f1862
