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QuaiWhale
Spike bucket

09/17/2026, 9:42:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/17/2026, 9:42:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 9:43:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,515.35
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 546.47
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
1.2x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
5,874.5 QUAI
546.47 QI
Avg confidence
68.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a • 0x000DAfCFADBAc1D3D3A221A01b43fdD824cF5c8e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5875 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a • 0x000DAfCFADBAc1D3D3A221A01b43fdD824cF5c8e.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 9:42:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
Net sender
Unknown type
6,425.37 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x000DAfCFADBAc1D3D3A221A01b43fdD824cF5c8e
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,820 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c58344D85c4A49686589D51fB53894EB1BAEA
Net receiver
Unknown type
846 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00619A269fC1C974D7A0F0bF3630F16CE673bFdf
Net receiver
Unknown type
846 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0071AEbBF3EAb3cB6552cf98200B4574Ab530D4E
Net receiver
Unknown type
846 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 546.47 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

2,820 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:50 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x000DAfCFADBAc1D3D3A221A01b43fdD824cF5c8e

All transfers in this selected minute

9 transactions
846 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:53 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x004c58344D85c4A49686589D51fB53894EB1BAEA
Tx: 0x0031000222b057cae41c4959768231326a272b182e5a3bc93e5a1823f37e4ce8
2,820 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:50 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x000DAfCFADBAc1D3D3A221A01b43fdD824cF5c8e
Tx: 0x0035000b2507ee4bfe7401125ba370ca975e5434972edfd1291d3a2b380fd952
317.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:50 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x005aA8295EB4B0dBEE44E5498CaA595a9bB851Bf
Tx: 0x0006004b16c9c8028943ca33f8940af8878d43492ae38d88c6b23cd79f843933
274.43 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:33 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006f002f615612b297feebaa38f936d35eb753322a544077ff2f1046841cb14b
Open txWallet profile
750.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:23 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x001AD12Db2726488B242950481Aaa2a795FA7E63
Tx: 0x000a0009e60d422552d81faf0b8b82252f14fa7c3278d2ac1c8cd13a177b22bf
272.03 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:14 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0070003e12e00ff684f5c9bbd93b031c60b253d665e4112f0b5beb4f25acfb15
Open txWallet profile
89.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:13 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3
Tx: 0x005e00586052435f9850b33c33a648710e4aff5a26d4729d2434bf4e77aafc5d
846 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:13 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x00619A269fC1C974D7A0F0bF3630F16CE673bFdf
Tx: 0x0030005c6bd5509e42cd16a7cb12f0dfa05eaf2ac8d3883a71cf48f5747b7a23
846 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:42:13 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x0071AEbBF3EAb3cB6552cf98200B4574Ab530D4E
Tx: 0x00460010e19fb8caaf771cb2332b7cb0ac5052d066e1e4807ebb0385070f1862