Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 9:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 9:41:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 9:42:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,874.5
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 552.95
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
5,874.5 QUAI
552.95 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a • 0x007e660A14573536ed9ab9567E936d652AF5D5bc.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5875 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a • 0x007e660A14573536ed9ab9567E936d652AF5D5bc.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 9:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
Net sender
Unknown type
5,586.42 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x007e660A14573536ed9ab9567E936d652AF5D5bc
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,820 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005bf32D85646D0f4c5427969f042D42E1828773
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,831.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
552.96 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
552.96 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 552.95 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
4,883.88 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:40:59 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
7,050 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:39:47 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
5,874.5 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:42:11 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
705 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:38:35 P.M.
+2 min
11 tx
6,611.23 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:43:23 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate13 tx
13,390.56 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:37:23 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
996 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:44:35 P.M.
-5 min
12 tx
4,599.48 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:36:11 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,820 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:41:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x007e660A14573536ed9ab9567E936d652AF5D5bc
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
274.66 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:41:30 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006c005380e57d331ca8366ad98755a361d38bbd9d645913ecec440b754d16f8
86.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:41:30 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x000b0040c8b868a3c5b94aa7d253af39532c7aec2b700a7c65b6b868f0f3ab03
278.29 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:41:17 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0063005f8a375a5c61c903a227cb09eb3c08329a4831692b716fd8871a90f2c5
1,831.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:41:06 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x005bf32D85646D0f4c5427969f042D42E1828773
Tx: 0x00100032a9e9514ef035e8c921e6ba762a940cd3f2ac028858a0efbc1accc24a
201.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:41:01 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3
Tx: 0x0030002f0a7649b3117a6b45dbec551b2ebd577a1704863320dfcbc78e17c344
506.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:41:01 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x00637cEA24CA15932FDa1059788bFC6a95FaaEE8
Tx: 0x0017001fd2f5611bbdee87b395f826a6294e2b4fd7b73eaaf293a9c49ce7cf8b
2,820 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:41:01 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x007e660A14573536ed9ab9567E936d652AF5D5bc
Tx: 0x001000210f4a312dde16bdad155e0ce0bfaaf6c929f1f5432fe0cf3b92523ed6
428.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:41:01 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x006B4856440aBA328E1E61341854C51DD8237E2b
Tx: 0x004b000e152cba96d5312cd9afdea3de50ae1fe6506178dbb160547409235753
