Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 9:40:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 9:40:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 9:41:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
32% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,542.01
Unexplained QUAI: 3,341.87
Explained QI: 274.48
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
6.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
3
42.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
4,883.88 QUAI
274.48 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a • 0x00532a7c30762d0b126b0F4d3FbdF5Cd82c2EeAB.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 4884 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a • 0x00532a7c30762d0b126b0F4d3FbdF5Cd82c2EeAB.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 9:40:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (68% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (32%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
Net sender
Unknown type
1,500.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
Kryptex miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
1,500.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
274.48 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
274.48 QI across 1 visible row
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
41.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
7,050 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:39:47 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
705 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:38:35 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
4,883.88 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:40:59 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
5,874.5 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:42:11 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate13 tx
13,390.56 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:37:23 P.M.
+3 min
11 tx
6,611.23 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:43:23 P.M.
-4 min
12 tx
4,599.48 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:36:11 P.M.
-5 min
6 tx
13,113 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:34:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,500.24 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:40:30 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: Kryptex miner
0x00532a7c30762d0b126b0F4d3FbdF5Cd82c2EeAB
Miner wallet
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
41.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:40:30 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x000c003565384ac7be915b94453b8cb036df8930ddeb9fab9d6ff2903ee57402
1,500.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:40:30 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: Kryptex miner
0x00532a7c30762d0b126b0F4d3FbdF5Cd82c2EeAB
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x0042001febf267e78e25add416b36c967534e2aec685006352e1291041976e42
274.48 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:40:17 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003700222d741c30e1607c6b5e147381789f4454a7c608f58b03ac5306526e2f