Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 9:39:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 9:39:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 9:40:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,391.87
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 279.55
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
7,050 QUAI
279.55 QI
Avg confidence
66.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a • 0x0065526b85365E74c20D0F78f05EDEA1039efC2C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 7050 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a • 0x0065526b85365E74c20D0F78f05EDEA1039efC2C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 9:39:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
Net sender
Unknown type
10,335.3 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0065526b85365E74c20D0F78f05EDEA1039efC2C
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,640 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0063284Cb15d2CbFF65c93a50050B41a1bED32b3
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,522.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0048492E3081710d65D86a440c6c628432beF2a3
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,410 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003A1677c1229b299400ACa92986CEE5CfEaaF8d
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,410 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
705 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:38:35 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
7,050 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:39:47 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate13 tx
13,390.56 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:37:23 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
4,883.88 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:40:59 P.M.
-3 min
12 tx
4,599.48 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:36:11 P.M.
+3 min
8 tx
5,874.5 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:42:11 P.M.
-4 min
6 tx
13,113 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:34:59 P.M.
+4 min
11 tx
6,611.23 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:43:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,640 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:39:14 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x0065526b85365E74c20D0F78f05EDEA1039efC2C
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
56.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:39:53 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00080043fbba03efcf9168cc807a3751cad65ea29cd93d03a51569585a5ae2bd
352.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:39:53 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x005aC7b5685927fC8e8A291D4E6c8EFb301aC389
Tx: 0x0017004e04b367be04905941d2338f9da65d96c043809a681984701707040efa
1,522.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:39:53 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x0063284Cb15d2CbFF65c93a50050B41a1bED32b3
Tx: 0x00330055ba0fd43e3eb863c9ea20308e3c008f08ced4056cf98eb5ab86bcd165
1,410 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:39:53 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x0048492E3081710d65D86a440c6c628432beF2a3
Tx: 0x00580074926a2bea1ba0b6670e77fd503670f10c2d46c158c3be818bf1cacafa
279.55 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:39:23 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00320010a0df29e4f81a1775d1c3407d1e6ec55e7974a3aaef1a458d8ab7809b
1,410 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:39:14 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x003A1677c1229b299400ACa92986CEE5CfEaaF8d
Tx: 0x002d004342a21c13f58f373e8a0f2ce2055f98f5493d6ecc96c0dbc7d2b2683d
5,640 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:39:14 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x0065526b85365E74c20D0F78f05EDEA1039efC2C
Tx: 0x002100692cf6051a7dcb01f3084793a8eec9e81827bdc29bdea8853607204006