Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 9:35:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 9:35:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 9:36:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,777.77
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 808.67
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
2.5x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
2,777.77 QUAI
808.67 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a • 0x0047AA92E8eC858e848d3fC789DDA376536f2d29.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 2778 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a • 0x0047AA92E8eC858e848d3fC789DDA376536f2d29.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 9:35:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
Net sender
Unknown type
2,467.5 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0047AA92E8eC858e848d3fC789DDA376536f2d29
Net receiver
Unknown type
846 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000a23936299D8dA9c9EB857Ff3A26DBe6Ca507E
Net receiver
Unknown type
846 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
808.68 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
808.68 QI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 808.67 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
13,113 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:34:59 P.M.
-1 min
8 tx
1,110.88 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:33:46 P.M.
+1 min
12 tx
4,599.48 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:36:11 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:32:34 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate13 tx
13,390.56 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:37:23 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
145.56 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:31:22 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
705 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:38:35 P.M.
-5 min
7 tx
133.1 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:30:10 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
846 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:35:18 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x0047AA92E8eC858e848d3fC789DDA376536f2d29
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
280.44 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:35:57 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005500542b9efc2e76ffa19fe4740367387be2a8500ef5bd15b13544aa248379
70.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:35:31 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x003D08084b6468202a01582d4c372195F2B252E3
Tx: 0x002f004a0d30b1a655a1cfab8451402e8cdad5925c552a8953f0584b0c90d5f8
705 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:35:21 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x0031B27Fd42D3A36Cf184B1b51EB718d08eE8Bf2
Tx: 0x00580031f9dafcf3dda2ac26959f666da7e3bc8afd60c59a1852e525bc9675b4
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:35:21 P.M.
From: 0x003Fee31e2A8C269037d8056CA7E0b8a1cc895f9
To: 0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3
Tx: 0x004a006a285dda3670043f4f31e8536598e11c7ab288488928048bcf07d5608b
264.11 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:35:20 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000f0003929996eac61442901a2c3248f24eca6e0c9e0eb08ab9f1f5e71036b7
264.11 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:35:20 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00480061ee52e4e4c100ba670637330146e2a56167e3380e361edf55acabe9a2
210.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:35:18 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0047006ab9b40915cb8eba7532445ea65918dc08bb2e2607373c8be78746a908
846 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:35:18 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x0047AA92E8eC858e848d3fC789DDA376536f2d29
Tx: 0x000c00447325a45315ad9a975fd639790fc77cc8dbc78bdbe3bb0da8c9b22c39
846 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:35:11 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x000a23936299D8dA9c9EB857Ff3A26DBe6Ca507E
Tx: 0x002e0037ee3f2c8a2f03776ea876eb87ed4304a8df4f0d8fd848f1b8a0c0fa83
