Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 9:34:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 9:34:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 9:35:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14,934.71
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 281.01
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
3.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
13,113 QUAI
281.01 QI
Avg confidence
65.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a • 0x005452985f9fbCF33a9bf6Afd65FAB8ca8bb2509.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 13113 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a • 0x005452985f9fbCF33a9bf6Afd65FAB8ca8bb2509.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 9:34:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
Net sender
Unknown type
14,805 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x005452985f9fbCF33a9bf6Afd65FAB8ca8bb2509
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,345 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00688E9d26a25e78cdB1bB2c8C3A833761358F84
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,525 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004332348da53A1318D4F6C572074445221901A7
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,115 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007A7e65CA18d190AbDc56E709808D7F35cED825
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,410 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
1,110.88 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:33:46 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:32:34 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
13,113 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:34:59 P.M.
+2 min
12 tx
4,599.48 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:36:11 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
145.56 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:31:22 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate13 tx
13,390.56 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:37:23 P.M.
-4 min
7 tx
133.1 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:30:10 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:28:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,345 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:34:25 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x005452985f9fbCF33a9bf6Afd65FAB8ca8bb2509
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
129.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:34:58 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x0017001f09df42ef210e9d3d8b35df31d004c1ace806d6c8f3b0493b82786fa1
1,410 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:34:58 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x007A7e65CA18d190AbDc56E709808D7F35cED825
Tx: 0x004e002744c02f0a88e501d12f315205b51037dcb25676dd1c19ad8d4803a1a3
282 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:34:58 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x00014De32f56E97BAD92dd7BDb43dCB1ABFA0049
Tx: 0x0058005978d5736712da86e794c0b3487d3756f7f31bd7b0b8ace5e5e2f67dee
282 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:34:47 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x002A3a43A6D7169a9246789cAD03b17C0A2ff10d
Tx: 0x0035005f9bb7274d3333d4cb55068602f0ed537ee42b8324dc37d274db5d682c
3,525 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:34:47 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x00688E9d26a25e78cdB1bB2c8C3A833761358F84
Tx: 0x007f002a2c1ab066170673c524a009de767125e85c7ba9d11bb7f07be72660de
281.01 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:34:25 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002d0067ecfc51afc8d362b3dc76ea9c577caba2b03d99a3c99c79c708d93ab8
6,345 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:34:25 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x005452985f9fbCF33a9bf6Afd65FAB8ca8bb2509
Tx: 0x0015007e4adb94ea6602fd8fbf7656d3453a71a4247fc3108b06555f004765cc
2,115 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:34:03 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x004332348da53A1318D4F6C572074445221901A7
Tx: 0x006f000e02a6a7a3b76c143a8dbef08bc174fc541b0a2ee4d2cab3761e521e0c
846 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:34:03 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x0042f2E21001ef3c1Fe5A77B19a5117696e8F94F
Tx: 0x00220004679ba09612c00a53bd01682d0b214e35b44146cc14b9a690e01fa3d1
