Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 9:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 9:08:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 9:09:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
40% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 300
Unexplained QUAI: 446.43
Explained QI: 276.21
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
22
Observable rows
2
9.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
34
Asset volume
746.43 QUAI
276.21 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003Fee31e2A8C269037d8056CA7E0b8a1cc895f9 • 0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 746 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003Fee31e2A8C269037d8056CA7E0b8a1cc895f9 • 0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 9:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (60% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (40%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003Fee31e2A8C269037d8056CA7E0b8a1cc895f9
Net sender
Unknown type
300 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3
Net receiver
Unknown type
300 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
276.21 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
276.21 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
13 tx
597.56 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:07:27 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate22 tx
746.43 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:08:39 P.M.
-2 min
51 tx
691.51 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:06:15 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
333.33 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:09:50 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:05:03 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
373.04 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:11:02 P.M.
-4 min
53 tx
642.38 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:03:50 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
408.72 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:12:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
300 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:08:55 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003Fee31e2A8C269037d8056CA7E0b8a1cc895f9
To: 0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
300 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:08:55 P.M.
From: 0x003Fee31e2A8C269037d8056CA7E0b8a1cc895f9
To: 0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3
Tx: 0x0021002eb4f49ce4e7c5e4564be80f9529b9499862ccb699ac51f791e3d1b8d0
276.21 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:08:06 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005f00213fa921efc8daafa2005407be5147b57204459e4ba9b679922ec7359d