Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 9:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 9:07:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 9:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 746.43
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 521.25
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 20% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
0.9x previous minute
0.8x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
24
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
597.56 QUAI
521.25 QI
Avg confidence
65.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 598 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 24 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 9:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 24 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
661.22 QUAI across 20 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
523.26 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
523.26 QI across 3 visible rows
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
149.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
139.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 521.25 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
597.56 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:07:27 P.M.
-1 min
51 tx
691.51 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:06:15 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:05:03 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate22 tx
746.43 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:08:39 P.M.
-3 min
53 tx
642.38 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:03:50 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
333.33 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:09:50 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
98.42 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:02:38 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
373.04 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:11:02 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
260.62 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:18 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
24 transactions
85.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007e006a94ba56c6e88d1478ce454ec6c801f39b4afacba83cc853e2f3c236a1
68.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00581d5A0E2Ca3def6772D488e45e87614C906A9
Tx: 0x0050001d7069a5dae17c7b3168ab11885a89d41f84904b284826f34268c04fb0
13.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
Tx: 0x0031000ab88765f6b3716f601efe94d2cc0c9ecf253566dbabcf9def1e54ea8d
3.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00610e8E9Bbf5933193917ae6c6cA02104c8a670
Tx: 0x000f001cd09ac8460522d72afedd1cd47dfbf3c9a8ff29f34f59e26d206921fb
5.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003273B2988Dd0Eb22Ef74b5AB28e6F4D1E14189
Tx: 0x000c003b4a2d3fe1c2219488719d3d58e8418d4099b93cd2722ccd024d900e1d
9.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
Tx: 0x003600494296c506ac38aa445f0f410ef7483766c049ad9e72eb1297d7e87d9f
14.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x006b0027553d523b78a660f8e44e8fc0a86630e4628b439ea94ada2faa8d0e80
4.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003e14D608458F824683504F81a74160953433b7
Tx: 0x0035001fd3ecad1bb93970fdc3388658fdf2b3fe865d7001ccf26c53f481d4c2
7.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005529e6E13B3A8D2Dde36eeBE75846264325c35
Tx: 0x001a005022b9ecb67477e48daea28493e354ec24829d539035f1648ca9998a7c
5.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Tx: 0x0069000eef93440e3bc46b27a1c8c4d296afa1ef08037559c7e11cb69f9d16df
5.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0029D74BFeacE23C9a500D8D952483B66d36e78e
Tx: 0x006b0052f2ac0798bf598606824a63137c773e78861a47edb01b479046cd5cb1
20.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00279256e95b8C8A4C5C925b15519E506F369126
Tx: 0x00450055d0d9963b29071fe29a533836dac7bd5843b82230787e7615e5fc2826
139.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x000d0036cc478af2f79dcd746dbce769be32d48f91ea46b9c4cd7f1fa17758b8
8.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007909777582d775F56f7746063Dbd0c650b714f
Tx: 0x002c0025231196ef0840d7bf71006db1dc927a9d3461639acb24a313f0583029
4.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x0042005b8f0877b55406c83be06c532e1818270d386913e328baa44ed5715898
17.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0072c56AC01BC87d9beDD29891D147Ac35D3dde1
Tx: 0x006200747cf9b04767a73aca0124bad7b02f890859269ef584b4769aa45a81e6
29.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x002700238e7c86bd57ad11b1cbf913196f971edeaed21c6731d37b143d4f864b
13.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005B1Ab74A953fe766F7433312BAf5872bfc3178
Tx: 0x00570053dec4782d7d7defde8df8cd2065b70736bb4f6cc8ccee6ce4918c4abb
149.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0076005f903cc2eda71f5a4378d83d0d07873eedd6584161aa53c2a5d0135a19
97.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x000800105030681f63f89cecc16ad65bdfb9e8c1f412c73e7d870c2357d332c0
40.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x007e001bc1e8773ffd825d7672b9d7e7b6297ec01365e052f2dee0b760585b57
260.62 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:18 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0059007bb872d1106fb2eb48cafc0b564e72604914e10a8cfa76fdb8baea2899
260.62 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:18 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0072001a960c9ea3d160de7b989dcd38e99267082d07f2e70f67f4fe3c38e3c9
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:07:18 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0000007d3fb5855d53d26707f8bae20e801337c9b20b2cc19bcf275998112afc
