Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 8:35:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 8:35:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 8:36:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 743.22
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 529.41
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
159.33 QUAI
529.41 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 159 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 8:35:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa
Net sender
Unknown type
389.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
389.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
209.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
209.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
117.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 389.22 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
159.33 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/17/2026, 8:35:08 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/17/2026, 8:33:51 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
743.22 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/17/2026, 8:36:20 P.M.
-2 min
7 tx
393.9 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 8:32:39 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/17/2026, 8:37:31 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/17/2026, 8:31:27 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
82.53 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/17/2026, 8:38:43 P.M.
-5 min
6 tx
64.49 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 8:30:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
389.22 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 8:35:47 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
209.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 8:35:47 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0018000723251c75c036b40c253e7120ffc56275cc7760e4f3c825e60e19e0fc
389.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 8:35:47 P.M.
From: 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0066006947d4f6da6a0ab3bb0ed86780db6431ac58025a14a8d67ce957985af6
26.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 8:35:15 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3
Tx: 0x003700225c10f0543fe2896af02e503d8cbcfc6d4dd8e2f125cb59ea9a19eb72
117.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 8:35:15 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0038004beca1871166941d23f3bf8b3f1d6b990fb2698b2aea5cff222e37b785