Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 8:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 8:17:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 8:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,298.56
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 476.23
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
476.23 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 8:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
19,998.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
476.23 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
476.23 QI across 2 visible rows
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
300.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 476.23 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,998.25 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/17/2026, 8:17:07 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/17/2026, 8:15:56 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
20,298.56 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 8:18:20 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
351.72 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/17/2026, 8:14:44 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
274.96 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/17/2026, 8:13:33 P.M.
+3 min
8 tx
724.02 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/17/2026, 8:19:32 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/17/2026, 8:20:43 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
112.91 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/17/2026, 8:12:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.25 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 8:17:50 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
238.11 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 8:17:55 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00790010f51033d1df0ca1cc8f0507f5bfc21bc9a9773e833379656f5b130609
238.11 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 8:17:55 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0034002573beb2c282aa3b08babee58a8bb90352a81075534efc9a8d6c35b437
300.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 8:17:50 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x001ccE0dD932653B20bCb6Cde6550d3A75aF1953
Tx: 0x0053005aa97209f169c621ca4e17ef5fd8954313659236e72887457d5eb32310
19,998.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 8:17:50 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0054007fa48859c89a47e9c8d3be6b1f00c1b0177579f3567fcc398e877e51f3