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Spike bucket

09/17/2026, 8:13:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/17/2026, 8:13:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 8:14:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
77% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 212.63
Unexplained QUAI: 62.32
Explained QI: 503.83
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 79% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
2.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
274.96 QUAI
503.83 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 275 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 8:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (23% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
503.83 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
503.83 QI across 2 visible rows
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
169 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
169 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
43.63 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 503.83 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

253.27 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 8:13:12 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

4 transactions
169 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 8:13:58 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007700371b8baea44b83739c0553e1f361d1a8c8965793dddac61a5b5a1a1593
43.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 8:13:41 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004f007b44984a205fa5fda72163b99f4ab528669ed5a9c61ebed526153ea451
250.55 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 8:13:35 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00070014df39541507442d1665cff472fc7ef7d9b4860e826329bfa964c17e02
Open txWallet profile
253.27 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 8:13:12 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0068004f49b8d846b379626b3579872073fd6f33cda8e8efb1435798b6c85698
Open txWallet profile