Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 7:53:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 7:53:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 7:54:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
18% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 60.05
Unexplained QUAI: 279.92
Explained QI: 522.42
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.4x above local average
5.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
339.97 QUAI
522.42 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 340 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 7:53:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (82% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (18%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
522.42 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
522.42 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
60.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Net receiver
Unknown type
60.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 522.42 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
339.97 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/17/2026, 7:53:07 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/17/2026, 7:51:55 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
60.05 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/17/2026, 7:54:18 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
209.16 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/17/2026, 7:50:43 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/17/2026, 7:55:29 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 7:49:31 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 7:56:41 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate5 tx
544.95 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/17/2026, 7:48:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
262.43 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 7:53:58 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
262.43 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 7:53:58 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00190013ea5d621089ef1ef2c20f169ce820b40d0ae55e06f37a7cc88740383c
60.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 7:53:58 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x00000010a47eec7ec5b99032901dac176b7f5816fe6be7c0d234f596ac3fba0e
259.99 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 7:53:14 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004e001c35652c587e47273ad0dd8d9ef3e036f33023298c95bd7bc4474a8e15
