Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 6:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 6:41:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 6:42:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 18,323.32
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 521.29
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
632x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
18,323.32 QUAI
521.29 QI
Avg confidence
73.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004DcDa07447CFb466D886673e43aeD16E150a23.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 18323 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004DcDa07447CFb466D886673e43aeD16E150a23.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 6:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
18,323.32 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004DcDa07447CFb466D886673e43aeD16E150a23
Net sender
Unknown type
7,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
Net sender
Unknown type
3,039.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0076EA0Dd7a69eD5Fb6939D80Def75550182D037
Net sender
Unknown type
3,013.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005E46386A499573Fc0d4F122526bdE398DDcF34
Net sender
Unknown type
2,166.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 521.29 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 18,323.32 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:40:51 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
29.01 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:39:39 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
18,323.32 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:42:03 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:43:15 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
20,134.47 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:38:27 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:44:26 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate15 tx
83,955.26 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:37:15 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
120.34 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:36:02 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,999.16 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:41:39 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004DcDa07447CFb466D886673e43aeD16E150a23
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
260.64 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:41:53 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002b006a8689d8df1877cca309086922e9ec76a34ea2171cee92ba4fd76023f3
260.64 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:41:53 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000a00594c8ce1e2862b311aa3123200aca2f880202b468ab3e3b9f527727ec8
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:41:53 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004e006e15e87134698fc16277d317dadf57cea282b4530308e4e6202240c8a4
2,166.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:41:39 P.M.
From: 0x005E46386A499573Fc0d4F122526bdE398DDcF34
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a004e9ab78b0fd6fd92d9bd33c9e4bf6c2b17d89b385109a4916fab5796ef
7,999.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:41:39 P.M.
From: 0x004DcDa07447CFb466D886673e43aeD16E150a23
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0022007aa278dd5af78789961df7b51abad862874464603753da0a8a40a783ba
3,039.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:41:39 P.M.
From: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00440056904ead782a3b8b594927474d0fb313ab1c7c9ee945ac432e1c52de1d
3,013.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:41:39 P.M.
From: 0x0076EA0Dd7a69eD5Fb6939D80Def75550182D037
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f003df97a6c7b6d6780ec5612e5269de850b6529cf59960cd6c55759ecb3f
2,104.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:41:39 P.M.
From: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005800224db3ca542045235065b457bbfec068703004e3cd40efc0f1d9a65419