Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 6:37:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 6:37:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 6:38:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
76% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 63,831
Unexplained QUAI: 20,124.27
Explained QI: 545.33
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
6.4x above local average
698x previous minute
4.2x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
14
93.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
83,955.26 QUAI
545.33 QI
Avg confidence
66.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00513eAe9b30Da5b0E246A9253508ea61be9dd34.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 83955 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 40
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00513eAe9b30Da5b0E246A9253508ea61be9dd34.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 6:37:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (24% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
43,698.08 QUAI across 10 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00513eAe9b30Da5b0E246A9253508ea61be9dd34
Net sender
Unknown type
19,997.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,997.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00369F48Dc4F9f35326c761EEe01290fBaDF59D0
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00413C934ab6ab2B1BA09702c8955D507e30D6c9
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 545.33 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate15 tx
83,955.26 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:37:15 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
120.34 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:36:02 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
20,134.47 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:38:27 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
56.47 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:34:51 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:33:39 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
29.01 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:39:39 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:40:51 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
167.1 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:32:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,997.63 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:37:36 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00513eAe9b30Da5b0E246A9253508ea61be9dd34
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
All transfers in this selected minute
14 transactions
272.66 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:37:36 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0003003275885a8fe6cc7533df3bebd6b1a45e3b8fb426ddf9e03d6230e84f2a
272.66 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:37:36 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0009002f0fa211d6dd9e8da16c13989edd469b46d8f0b43a1fccd0f8f2097a78
19,997.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:37:36 P.M.
From: 0x00513eAe9b30Da5b0E246A9253508ea61be9dd34
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x005f001099845f996290744874432e8b2e7b2ac1a5fa31fcaca894de0c39c712
135.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:37:07 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00240046f20d42673f0a0600e3b8645f5deab669f282332fb5c95cd6f48a8d3b
3,040.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:37:07 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
Tx: 0x0041004110de86b9483c0286c955988ac4c106527d11614eb67ee2f7e1fba461
3,014.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:37:07 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0076EA0Dd7a69eD5Fb6939D80Def75550182D037
Tx: 0x001d000277d9b311eaac56629353f7a40ed28bf48a222a58d98beeb41a719ea0
8,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:37:07 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00369F48Dc4F9f35326c761EEe01290fBaDF59D0
Tx: 0x00550001169658be8e0ffb5e0398113f8ff91030713a791da9c0c68fb0c085ce
2,105.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:37:07 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
Tx: 0x005f00508ffe0395176cb81839c777704168b3ee85b30e2d7f13da6aee74842a
8,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:37:07 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00413C934ab6ab2B1BA09702c8955D507e30D6c9
Tx: 0x0067006e92db1cb75d12b83f5f43fab07755c8614b07e2ece7506213a195e09b
2,167.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:37:07 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x005E46386A499573Fc0d4F122526bdE398DDcF34
Tx: 0x0074007caed3248f60b2fff4484c4cc6c7c7f410a37722c62d4674b7853acb0e
2,299.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:37:07 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0024563B56546f0A5a8f8c20f1E183e092bd974D
Tx: 0x0053001042266ca37d21428bceaf9c6be3e2a2c431612158dd3350a5a0c812fb
2,044.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:37:07 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x001503755171A49047030c9b244c3DbD505911b0
Tx: 0x0042003ba1fa08afe85967501383bc3ff82d18f03a4f62babc946ca57a4ea7cb
5,026.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:37:07 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x006501DAffeFF3166cD6eC1664029A426fEA7E71
Tx: 0x0074005a1cb509cbb70ef2f55f657f805df7833e3bf9924f01aea6d6aa03fc4b
8,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:37:07 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x004DcDa07447CFb466D886673e43aeD16E150a23
Tx: 0x005e002c259a8bd27ec0992661954c931a9dac781cb95a96844c3022539e9701
