Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 6:30:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 6:30:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 6:31:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,680.48
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 578.16
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
254.57 QUAI
578.16 QI
Avg confidence
68.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00455B429136EEA27741a48f8EfdD3f800aC9EEE.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 255 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00455B429136EEA27741a48f8EfdD3f800aC9EEE.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 6:30:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,170.21 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00455B429136EEA27741a48f8EfdD3f800aC9EEE
Net sender
Unknown type
1,225.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007f7d7B1cB860C695ED2eC7BC822Cb8F6A74B28
Net sender
Unknown type
1,191.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039DBEdf38f145eDA60d87303b3BfAcAB4Ab02F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,060 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c3fb6069Db2f8Ae8f5418D0bA5d7C03dB05D0
Net sender
Unknown type
692.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 578.16 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,170.21 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
254.57 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:30:03 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:28:51 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
4,680.48 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:31:16 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
2,549.3 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:27:40 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
167.1 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:32:27 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate23 tx
20,753 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:26:27 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:33:39 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:25:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,225.44 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:30:19 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00455B429136EEA27741a48f8EfdD3f800aC9EEE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
153.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:30:58 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000a001e631b8c1f2c042d5929a7dfcadb7c5b8bdf5363b8f9e123021d942f5b
194.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:30:58 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000d007ed259a7e91f97d7dcfad07eb9fc1a3d78a0d051033b4bb8ebbce7cb12
288.95 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:30:25 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007a00761071ed67ea4b796710e88a121bfcf95912f456d22de1ebe2cafb0f71
162.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:30:19 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006200461f6fa29be84c3e04629b4c5e90e6e2d84d9614b61fd5b147db194546
1,191.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:30:19 P.M.
From: 0x007f7d7B1cB860C695ED2eC7BC822Cb8F6A74B28
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a0059c9afbb961ce104d56bcdc42e8cd1ad7395729a0f9a74b1f58cf6053d
1,060 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:30:19 P.M.
From: 0x0039DBEdf38f145eDA60d87303b3BfAcAB4Ab02F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a0066be1733f4b049fbca219988f859384e0f7cd2184d2b5f3135b1e03f94
692.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:30:19 P.M.
From: 0x004c3fb6069Db2f8Ae8f5418D0bA5d7C03dB05D0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d0064311d77d2be5c17484968117304f808d3de8f2988d5a5f6d27bd4e62a
1,225.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:30:19 P.M.
From: 0x00455B429136EEA27741a48f8EfdD3f800aC9EEE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a007bcfb5f3340a8531143f9e4076d950cf0581c17f749d6d22aff13c8914
289.2 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 6:30:14 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0022003229689fc0cb22db0d4bf57ed8e9ad973445a817c36ebdb6f9fe30a85b