Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 5:57:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 5:57:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 5:58:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
22% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 33.52
Unexplained QUAI: 119.01
Explained QI: 562.72
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
3
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
152.53 QUAI
562.72 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 153 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 5:57:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (78% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (22%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
562.72 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
562.72 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
33.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3
Net receiver
Unknown type
33.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 562.72 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
403.03 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 5:56:31 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
152.53 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/17/2026, 5:57:43 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
217.56 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/17/2026, 5:55:19 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/17/2026, 5:58:56 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
150.54 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/17/2026, 5:54:07 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
2,352.82 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:00:07 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate5 tx
6,481.94 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/17/2026, 5:52:56 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 6:01:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
281.36 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 5:57:17 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
281.36 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 5:57:17 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000d0044499e1a113fe1a79847d1b967cdb79a50c5a6177ef6a779dcb885be03
281.36 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 5:57:17 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000d00772a47d242456bb4c7fbc71da36509bb38d7ab5f0fa09383db4b693088
33.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 5:57:11 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3
Tx: 0x0048005b53f1178c318ee2431e635ec1bbe8017e98d5369eab3855d9ee5fce8a