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Spike bucket

09/17/2026, 5:40:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/17/2026, 5:40:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 5:41:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
73% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 262.18
Unexplained QUAI: 95.35
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
4.5x above local average
267x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
357.53 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 358 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 5:40:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (27% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
139.43 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
122.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
122.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
91.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
47.79 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

3 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 4. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

122.75 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 5:40:46 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877

All transfers in this selected minute

3 transactions
122.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 5:40:46 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x006500587d247d63792fe5882756f6955d9ae3e93da70c7b61daaa28a5a1953f
91.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 5:40:06 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005e007b2cc73fa038cbc76116e413b68557354f770d2efacad734f9be2d96bd
47.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 5:40:06 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00300028bc3e8fe15b329fc7afd12f7842a0c17471acbef45bf9a75b4ea4d52a