Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 4:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 4:13:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 4:14:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,552.15
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
4.2x above local average
5.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
2,552.15 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0063743f68d780020cDb24e464AE75C2Bf0B8686.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2552 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0063743f68d780020cDb24e464AE75C2Bf0B8686.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 4:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
2,552.15 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0063743f68d780020cDb24e464AE75C2Bf0B8686
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,502.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002B72B2377FB3B4EaA54CBA6cd13C270Ab32c37
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,049.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
309.67 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:12:34 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
2,552.15 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:13:46 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
502.6 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:11:23 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
131.98 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:14:58 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
260.34 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:10:11 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
381.65 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:16:10 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
231.6 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:09:00 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
480.16 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:17:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,502.29 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 4:13:38 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0063743f68d780020cDb24e464AE75C2Bf0B8686
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1,502.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 4:13:38 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0063743f68d780020cDb24e464AE75C2Bf0B8686
Tx: 0x0043003d03ebfd1696957b05650934bd579bfdd9cb9003c490d36bfa8a81a7a3
1,049.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 4:13:38 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x002B72B2377FB3B4EaA54CBA6cd13C270Ab32c37
Tx: 0x0036006412161e395da81a6e7d12caf97c274101bf68e3fb48313e12cf1f5af7
