Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 4:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 4:11:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 4:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 809.67
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
1.9x previous minute
1.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
502.6 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00591a40D55b20a9d11Af2B5CAE759F493B6FDBD • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 503 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00591a40D55b20a9d11Af2B5CAE759F493B6FDBD • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 4:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00591a40D55b20a9d11Af2B5CAE759F493B6FDBD
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
210.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
210.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
Net sender
Unknown type
99.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 99.31 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
502.6 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:11:23 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
260.34 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:10:11 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
231.6 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:09:00 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
309.67 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:12:34 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
98.05 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:07:48 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
2,552.15 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:13:46 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
112.56 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:06:36 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
131.98 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:14:58 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
500 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 4:11:06 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00591a40D55b20a9d11Af2B5CAE759F493B6FDBD
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
210.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 4:11:38 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x007d0011c47689718a58f8a43a2f77f2729b72f7eb7992150613b6794c3c78e2
99.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 4:11:38 P.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0034000918f6b21dc3cbc23f8e3b02606fd4f42e0514ad5ceedc37395c86464a
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 4:11:06 P.M.
From: 0x00591a40D55b20a9d11Af2B5CAE759F493B6FDBD
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0035005c4e1ba2269b771655b39ab7821a0e28636cb4224a0161fff3b90df330