Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 4:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 4:03:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 4:04:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 224.91
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
224.91 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 225 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 4:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
82.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Net receiver
Unknown type
82.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
78.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
78.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
35.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
51 tx
512.46 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:02:59 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:01:47 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
224.91 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:04:12 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate4 tx
155,222.31 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:00:35 P.M.
+2 min
52 tx
2,532.67 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:05:24 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
117.51 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:59:23 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
112.56 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/17/2026, 4:06:36 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
200.31 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:58:11 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
82.95 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 4:03:53 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
82.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 4:03:53 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x004f0022e2600b16e0ff7e47499693069789b9812c0b06f12bd9e99ff9cad410
27.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 4:03:53 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3
Tx: 0x0059001c507fbf10c82638b08cd15fd69ffdfcdbc999f0ba7a5591dc2a94b5da
78.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 4:03:53 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0074006f4eb917ff2aa118852f1f737b78cd75dec451a265a30b41af96f2add5
35.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 4:03:53 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x00063508b741e15F0a10a8c0B5990B2433D01517
Tx: 0x0076005cf33da2177883e355c52911afaf1b80a471e1f986fce5f5368de7a842