Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 3:51:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 3:51:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 3:52:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 44,380.52
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
320x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
44,380.52 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 44381 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba -> 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 3:51:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Net sender
Unknown type
16,945.97 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net receiver
Unknown type
16,945.97 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
Net sender
Unknown type
7,317.44 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba → 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
3 repeated flows • 7,317.44 QUAI
0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915 → 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
2 repeated flows • 16,945.97 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
2,520.25 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:50:52 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
138.55 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:49:39 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
44,380.52 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:52:05 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
4,532.63 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:53:19 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
150 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:48:26 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
1,218.44 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:47:15 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate5 tx
172,761.79 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:54:33 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
51.92 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:46:03 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.2 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 3:51:15 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
114.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 3:51:53 P.M.
From: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
To: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Tx: 0x005b00122e8556fbc78a9e65c9459cbff19eecf254e9b892c85d0099d924f8b5
2,505 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 3:51:53 P.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00270021a0037fac57ed44b17f765241c6737c35613d3995956df069aca8b361
117.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 3:51:36 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003b007d082078baf445083e3e357076c0749ad6a49be4977fd6868b635bf81b
2,443.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 3:51:36 P.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001a002d760da85f9665c8ac3dc747b8d96df6a337f819e9e0712db8e7282cc5
16,831.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 3:51:15 P.M.
From: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
To: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Tx: 0x0057001432a4916434fb3b7e86920301ff7d9449803d1b5eaa80970e0c719444
2,369 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 3:51:15 P.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007c004f4b83e092d9170cdadb80bb7c1f67580e1cf14a0ec64398ddcbdf5b9b
19,999.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 3:51:15 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x00070062015ece9b23978ef58bcd178726f47cb90bbbfded11602b49a333cb94