Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 3:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 3:41:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 3:42:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 799.98
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.8x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
49.98 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0062823AC484bE7c5D44C983052178a1dED68aaE • 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 50 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0062823AC484bE7c5D44C983052178a1dED68aaE • 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 3:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0062823AC484bE7c5D44C983052178a1dED68aaE
Net receiver
Unknown type
740 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00085fcb33Cb798017c52135eC0D8C0A9d38CBd6
Net sender
Unknown type
140 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001FA60eF455060cb1D501a55f0def89De09d696
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
49.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
49.98 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:41:15 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
28.43 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:40:04 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
1,161.16 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:42:28 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
172.29 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:38:51 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
26.83 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:37:39 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:43:40 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
480.65 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:44:52 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate3 tx
5,208.71 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:36:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
500 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 3:41:33 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x0062823AC484bE7c5D44C983052178a1dED68aaE
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 3:41:33 P.M.
From: 0x001FA60eF455060cb1D501a55f0def89De09d696
To: 0x0062823AC484bE7c5D44C983052178a1dED68aaE
Tx: 0x0078000e4015505d4e7c529c5b6cdb2e6e8d951192a248bd7192c1f5d324d382
140 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 3:41:33 P.M.
From: 0x00085fcb33Cb798017c52135eC0D8C0A9d38CBd6
To: 0x0062823AC484bE7c5D44C983052178a1dED68aaE
Tx: 0x006f0056192a91437d7a2b7a8e2dfa20864d276ff76ea1cf656410e11ce517f7
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 3:41:33 P.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x0062823AC484bE7c5D44C983052178a1dED68aaE
Tx: 0x004600364e954282038d3a16f36a632fefe030ecc97a5fed3fcf13323354231e
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 3:41:33 P.M.
From: 0x004dd9AFAA2768642B5cDe15c24F37bF19d842E4
To: 0x007275Ab687CfA76F1700142C405BB4F6FdadF6f
Tx: 0x00730044be8e763be716aa0a05d6059bea8833a645d2d5bd52a89f7eca95f917
49.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 3:41:01 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x002d003cb67e1e1df61304c426de6346e2e842239d32782272ca57edf6d323a7
