Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 3:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 3:15:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 3:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 231.77
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
1.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
231.77 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3 • 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 232 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3 • 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 3:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3
Net receiver
Unknown type
231.77 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
137.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
93.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
2,150 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:14:57 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
150 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:13:45 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
231.77 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:16:08 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
150 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:12:34 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
84.98 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:17:19 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
100 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:11:22 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:18:30 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
116.27 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:10:11 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
137.94 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 3:15:08 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
93.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 3:15:08 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3
Tx: 0x007d002379124239744f086de52a1e651ddadd3738a2693a942772a952dd333b
137.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 3:15:08 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3
Tx: 0x005b0049370815d8ca1286e8bfea0a6480872f0f91732e0b35121a519fa5de9b