Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 2:58:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 2:58:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 2:59:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,040.08
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 22% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
3,040.08 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 3040 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 2:58:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
2,183.95 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,189.92 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
Net receiver
Unknown type
994.04 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
660.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00526D032BDc73dF28345D5b048514726A216701
Net receiver
Unknown type
660.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
2 repeated flows • 1,189.92 QUAI
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
2 repeated flows • 994.04 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
1,130.46 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 2:57:32 P.M.
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/17/2026, 2:57:56 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
3,040.08 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/17/2026, 2:59:11 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
1,718.84 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/17/2026, 2:56:19 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
1,435.37 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:00:24 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate66 tx
100,798.09 QUAI • 73 addresses
09/17/2026, 2:54:58 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
7,917.9 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:01:37 P.M.
+5 min
54 tx
772.03 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:02:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
660.47 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:58:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x00526D032BDc73dF28345D5b048514726A216701
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
497.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:58:52 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
Tx: 0x003c00500f95041bf00b61c0c2a3227c3fbeb20ffe53001e8889f7646f9a6ab2
596.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:58:52 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00100014be98431359a2e8bdbbd34338ab2f72aaa13b6cffa51a6f92b91a8a96
81.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:58:31 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x0061000cbfc4e0ae1360e100e7ab8bb1912305f55007ef75fab5ab16ff137dc7
660.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:58:31 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x00526D032BDc73dF28345D5b048514726A216701
Tx: 0x005a0036ad1b455c0ed88147eba45d1e3d5514fe5a652af71856dc039dae2c01
113.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:58:03 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00390030f68ce25dec257decbe526b1922e2803b7f625e080698e687919e0db8
593.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:58:03 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0075001b85c7721199f5af6513442bd36a231b2c1f0207b231b2fca4da619723
497.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:58:03 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
Tx: 0x000e00396d147315d556b8b828da19b9644348712382a3aea6c72521b7fac97d
