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Spike bucket

09/17/2026, 2:51:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/17/2026, 2:51:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 2:52:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14,777.8
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
14,777.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0021E31BCAcb1d44883fc0506d3DbB7d210816B1 • 0x0036055914e2C1b83449e9CD0A0968014822bD1F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 14778 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0021E31BCAcb1d44883fc0506d3DbB7d210816B1 • 0x0036055914e2C1b83449e9CD0A0968014822bD1F.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x0043349D5daef3eEE3685e72Dc0b8Efe5a534d71 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 2:51:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0021E31BCAcb1d44883fc0506d3DbB7d210816B1
Net sender
Unknown type
8,295 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0036055914e2C1b83449e9CD0A0968014822bD1F
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,295 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008EA36209387a792B561c546FfE4208aef8d7D
Net sender
Unknown type
3,186.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,186.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
2,295.83 QUAI across 5 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x0043349D5daef3eEE3685e72Dc0b8Efe5a534d71
3 repeated flows • 1,301.3 QUAI
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
2 repeated flows • 994.53 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

8,295 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:51:28 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0021E31BCAcb1d44883fc0506d3DbB7d210816B1
To: 0x0036055914e2C1b83449e9CD0A0968014822bD1F

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
497.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:51:57 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
Tx: 0x0037000efb6e34383a8bebbfe6909050070c06c0face333185254b4733b62819
400.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:51:57 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0043349D5daef3eEE3685e72Dc0b8Efe5a534d71
Tx: 0x0053003284d8edfb1e40117e717538220914bec2bbdd05b23aa1e399d697ded3
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:51:48 P.M.
From: 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x006c00701e1d03253c2b6ee1f9e9fb134ec1c54e43815a31df150e98cfce8c80
400.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:51:40 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0043349D5daef3eEE3685e72Dc0b8Efe5a534d71
Tx: 0x00710001735036c2b0a1bb99659919a6dd3c05436bf47f3a0bd8aea3c8a4c01f
8,295 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:51:28 P.M.
From: 0x0021E31BCAcb1d44883fc0506d3DbB7d210816B1
To: 0x0036055914e2C1b83449e9CD0A0968014822bD1F
Tx: 0x001d003ddf376c9e89649096c84111b388c11832e473fa8fb1154d41839b853a
497.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:51:28 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
Tx: 0x007c0055ca2bacf9dcbd4c8acfadd8750b8536dde897d62e9fd23aa00e0eedae
500.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:51:16 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0043349D5daef3eEE3685e72Dc0b8Efe5a534d71
Tx: 0x004800613a73d31c25f1c282191ca2e6f42f1d4c2c73f4dc82fc49d247954b05
3,186.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:51:04 P.M.
From: 0x0008EA36209387a792B561c546FfE4208aef8d7D
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x00200061fdc5fa2ca19fc84881f3c1673666b276862f8bbf6fcb7dc40f02b3fc