Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 2:51:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 2:51:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 2:52:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14,777.8
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
14,777.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0021E31BCAcb1d44883fc0506d3DbB7d210816B1 • 0x0036055914e2C1b83449e9CD0A0968014822bD1F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 14778 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0021E31BCAcb1d44883fc0506d3DbB7d210816B1 • 0x0036055914e2C1b83449e9CD0A0968014822bD1F.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x0043349D5daef3eEE3685e72Dc0b8Efe5a534d71 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 2:51:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0021E31BCAcb1d44883fc0506d3DbB7d210816B1
Net sender
Unknown type
8,295 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0036055914e2C1b83449e9CD0A0968014822bD1F
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,295 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008EA36209387a792B561c546FfE4208aef8d7D
Net sender
Unknown type
3,186.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,186.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
2,295.83 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x0043349D5daef3eEE3685e72Dc0b8Efe5a534d71
3 repeated flows • 1,301.3 QUAI
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
2 repeated flows • 994.53 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+4 min
Best candidate66 tx
100,798.09 QUAI • 73 addresses
09/17/2026, 2:54:58 P.M.
+5 min
4 tx
1,718.84 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/17/2026, 2:56:19 P.M.
+7 min
3 tx
1,130.46 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 2:57:32 P.M.
+7 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/17/2026, 2:57:56 P.M.
+8 min
7 tx
3,040.08 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/17/2026, 2:59:11 P.M.
+9 min
3 tx
1,435.37 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:00:24 P.M.
+11 min
6 tx
7,917.9 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:01:37 P.M.
+12 min
54 tx
772.03 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/17/2026, 3:02:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,295 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:51:28 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0021E31BCAcb1d44883fc0506d3DbB7d210816B1
To: 0x0036055914e2C1b83449e9CD0A0968014822bD1F
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
497.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:51:57 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
Tx: 0x0037000efb6e34383a8bebbfe6909050070c06c0face333185254b4733b62819
400.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:51:57 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0043349D5daef3eEE3685e72Dc0b8Efe5a534d71
Tx: 0x0053003284d8edfb1e40117e717538220914bec2bbdd05b23aa1e399d697ded3
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:51:48 P.M.
From: 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x006c00701e1d03253c2b6ee1f9e9fb134ec1c54e43815a31df150e98cfce8c80
400.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:51:40 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0043349D5daef3eEE3685e72Dc0b8Efe5a534d71
Tx: 0x00710001735036c2b0a1bb99659919a6dd3c05436bf47f3a0bd8aea3c8a4c01f
8,295 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:51:28 P.M.
From: 0x0021E31BCAcb1d44883fc0506d3DbB7d210816B1
To: 0x0036055914e2C1b83449e9CD0A0968014822bD1F
Tx: 0x001d003ddf376c9e89649096c84111b388c11832e473fa8fb1154d41839b853a
497.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:51:28 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
Tx: 0x007c0055ca2bacf9dcbd4c8acfadd8750b8536dde897d62e9fd23aa00e0eedae
500.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:51:16 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0043349D5daef3eEE3685e72Dc0b8Efe5a534d71
Tx: 0x004800613a73d31c25f1c282191ca2e6f42f1d4c2c73f4dc82fc49d247954b05
3,186.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 2:51:04 P.M.
From: 0x0008EA36209387a792B561c546FfE4208aef8d7D
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x00200061fdc5fa2ca19fc84881f3c1673666b276862f8bbf6fcb7dc40f02b3fc
