Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 6:19:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 6:19:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 6:20:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
55% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 142.27
Unexplained QUAI: 115.79
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.8x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
1
20.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
258.06 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11 • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 258 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11 • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 6:19:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (45% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (55%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
142.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
142.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
258.06 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:19:11 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:17:51 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
226.71 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:16:32 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
143.61 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:20:30 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
100,073.87 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:21:50 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
68.74 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:15:09 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
145.78 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:23:08 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
65.77 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:13:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
142.27 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:19:22 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
142.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:19:22 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0035002012c7d8643cc30203af44301a42a542a70c511d434333a64a278da02c