Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 6:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 6:12:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 6:13:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
66% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 158.69
Unexplained QUAI: 80.29
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
238.98 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 239 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 6:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (34% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
92.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
92.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
65.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
65.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:11:09 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
238.98 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:12:30 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate7 tx
3,058.89 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:09:50 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
65.77 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:13:50 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
312.45 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:08:38 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
68.74 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:15:09 P.M.
-5 min
21 tx
1,137.59 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:07:18 P.M.
+5 min
2 tx
226.71 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:16:32 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
92.92 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:12:09 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
65.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:12:21 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000300698bd589b289af204f31fbc2cb322581a31045e3e814c1ea151453e3f9
92.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:12:09 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001300461b0e7474f4e54678b37bbd40ab1fea1f1d6f948e50957d4c73f20539