Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 5:54:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 5:54:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 5:55:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 252.11
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 5:54:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
147.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
147.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0077aB9c0169E6B1620FaD80F4A2a70ed1E26A5E
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0067C8E6e9A7ed32b1a56B1A9DEcB36e3E1587a6
Net receiver
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005A3560C44e506626A26352466429cC963F9fB7
Net sender
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
16.56 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:53:21 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:54:32 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
74.03 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:52:02 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
352.11 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:55:46 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
156.06 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:50:42 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
328,664.7 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:57:04 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
21,214.22 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:58:15 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
10,051.34 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:49:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
147.11 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:54:38 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
147.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:54:38 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001200074d88c10792b3820dc0a09b437a997947acce547f9ce7e95adb0110bf
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:54:38 P.M.
From: 0x0077aB9c0169E6B1620FaD80F4A2a70ed1E26A5E
To: 0x0067C8E6e9A7ed32b1a56B1A9DEcB36e3E1587a6
Tx: 0x00050013aa7ba792ec06144109d668df8fb9ad65bdc8dae951af54b936181123
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:54:38 P.M.
From: 0x005A3560C44e506626A26352466429cC963F9fB7
To: 0x001AF1BbB40807fcb99C9Eeaa49dF5E91e7Efd42
Tx: 0x005e0017bf465c61d24bb4e589a3d2ab193e0a61624f2ef4cb1460fa1f7c7efd
