Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 5:47:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 5:47:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 5:48:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 179.45
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
179.45 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 179 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 5:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
179.45 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Net receiver
Unknown type
66.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0065b9955E18F086d5bDF946fe2851C152Ee342D
Net receiver
Unknown type
61.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1
Net receiver
Unknown type
51.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:46:44 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
357.09 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:48:02 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:45:25 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
10,051.34 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:49:22 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
178.52 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:44:03 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:42:43 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
156.06 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:50:42 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
74.03 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:52:02 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
66.61 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:47:13 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
51.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:47:56 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1
Tx: 0x007a003ab31942454e9ac8063d15e8b091eb65f4085df37f8243306a6646c077
61.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:47:26 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0065b9955E18F086d5bDF946fe2851C152Ee342D
Tx: 0x00520033037c5bf0a1dc08c8a9cbf239443e9500cdc16dcb33290db0744aaa86
66.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:47:13 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x0060007cc92b07b391b25f1f5cfee53efcda390ded7d0e000988e9422185ae75