Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 5:46:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 5:46:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 5:47:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 228.98
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE • 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE • 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 5:46:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
100.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Net receiver
Unknown type
100.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
77.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Net receiver
Unknown type
77.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
51.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:45:25 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:46:44 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
178.52 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:44:03 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
357.09 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:48:02 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:42:43 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
10,051.34 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:49:22 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
126.68 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:41:22 P.M.
+5 min
2 tx
156.06 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:50:42 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
100.54 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:46:44 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
100.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:46:44 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x00090028a936ee6977863640c0f529ff9e7af7e7342963ac095ef6db067f0937
77.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:46:44 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x004200207e645a6fe56926fa1c0947379cadb73954806bd46ecb9ee7a108b2d6
51.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:46:44 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0074000120e295de7bf9786ec26953fe133b0f3a03cae21324934d1003939b56