Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 5:32:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 5:32:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 5:33:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 945.78
Unexplained QUAI: 85,055.22
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
5.7x above local average
6.9x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
86,001 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21 • 0x003e38FE8e435DB13AD37ee8ba006861105Bc7D4.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 86001 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21 • 0x003e38FE8e435DB13AD37ee8ba006861105Bc7D4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 5:32:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e38FE8e435DB13AD37ee8ba006861105Bc7D4
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001a587f4A7629217aBd3A02DEE19D7190F38BB0
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QUAI across 2 visible rows
StratumX miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
86,001 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:32:01 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:30:42 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
12,393.83 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:33:21 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
923.27 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:29:21 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
717.64 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:34:43 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
5,146.5 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:28:01 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
10,281.79 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:36:03 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
5,346.32 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:26:41 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
500 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:32:50 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x003e38FE8e435DB13AD37ee8ba006861105Bc7D4
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
57.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:32:50 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00090033a0a9ed20ab059ec0b2a7a4ae2914dd0446570eeae8c05d5cce072468
38.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:32:50 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x00200003dc1d8f897b57ac13ca42b1ff198ba8441afa3ab65f8f6ebc67c9f44f
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:32:50 P.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x001a587f4A7629217aBd3A02DEE19D7190F38BB0
Tx: 0x00090049dc8dec10f1a99f76061040f4e8fbfb829d703a3d632ed42b0ef5ac39
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:32:50 P.M.
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x003e38FE8e435DB13AD37ee8ba006861105Bc7D4
Tx: 0x001d006393b1b6e71506def8ee455f5302bce58f61d45d1781be863d17ae0b0e
250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:32:50 P.M.
From: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
To: 0x001a587f4A7629217aBd3A02DEE19D7190F38BB0
Tx: 0x0033007a4726d5c1824b91818d13337282066bef976683cb566cd08149ef15ed