Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 5:28:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 5:28:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 5:29:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
18% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 923.27
Unexplained QUAI: 4,223.23
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
1.0x previous minute
5.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
5,146.5 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3 • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5147 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3 • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 5:28:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (82% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (18%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner wallet (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate miner wallet context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner wallet context.
Top actors in this event
StratumX miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
485 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
485 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006a476416597fccE611546edb04D9275523a13D
Net sender
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e38FE8e435DB13AD37ee8ba006861105Bc7D4
Net receiver
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
106.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
5,146.5 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:28:01 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
5,346.32 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:26:41 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
923.27 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:29:21 P.M.
-2 min
11 tx
10,853.29 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:25:30 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:30:42 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
142.98 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:24:11 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate3 tx
86,001 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:32:01 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:22:49 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
485 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:28:32 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:28:49 P.M.
From: 0x006a476416597fccE611546edb04D9275523a13D
To: 0x003e38FE8e435DB13AD37ee8ba006861105Bc7D4
Tx: 0x00480032995b9b1ae30234945e14447ed33986ca2febc010c7a57e4ce70b1d9e
106.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:28:32 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x006d0078c83298bb4aeee4c703f7f15e85d845cc79a549b33dc88738bcde9a28
485 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:28:32 P.M.
From: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00160000e75e22aa4a9fd1c47ae8d3e516c2ad2f5e96cd8a48a99519312ba93e
81.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:28:23 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x000f00664ead8c22f01dad7f3441d47cc9c22225fd39f7e1a1fa1f3e02843ec5