Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 5:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 5:16:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 5:17:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,251.47
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 82% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
116.42 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 116 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 5:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
11,364.95 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Net sender
Unknown type
9,998.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a813475d4116D69CD81DD56e005663F485E49
Net sender
Unknown type
1,351.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001cB5486311Ae69936DfafC4E36FE0Aebef56eA
Net sender
Unknown type
795.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
795.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
116.42 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:16:14 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:14:56 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
300.66 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:13:36 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
12,251.47 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:17:32 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
43,237.88 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:18:51 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
1,963.85 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:12:14 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:20:11 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:10:55 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,998.04 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:16:41 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
91.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:16:41 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00390007991b9cf25fcf50477d2ef0bfe6611f4ce69b1390d51ecdb976c10b07
795.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:16:41 P.M.
From: 0x001cB5486311Ae69936DfafC4E36FE0Aebef56eA
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x002d007e0fbdf59838c7ddfd146388f00c916d1005d2e6399354e820a2873c34
15.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:16:41 P.M.
From: 0x007510f999E7B68BA84EeC7f9ABC0E3F0547C2BD
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0058005e84dc08a7d8663513f1ef4c1b59fe840a9e22a52471c06e87d5beae38
9,998.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:16:41 P.M.
From: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002e003b6f55c4f90d878251403af2f0a8eb901c6d435f09142f8c5676097921
1,351.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:16:41 P.M.
From: 0x002a813475d4116D69CD81DD56e005663F485E49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00440046f854630e1c5fecd96a2783c1a0d7d41fc8e21dedfec87d926450a36d