Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 5:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 5:08:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 5:09:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 17,692.62
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 85% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 5:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
Net sender
Unknown type
14,977.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
14,977.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0077aB9c0169E6B1620FaD80F4A2a70ed1E26A5E
Net sender
Unknown type
1,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000C325AFba59B33925234e86d22f7DeCE7a1D97
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,214.96 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,214.96 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:08:17 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
11,078.36 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:07:04 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate61 tx
85,814.92 QUAI • 80 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:05:47 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
17,692.62 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:09:36 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
75,710 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:04:35 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:10:55 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
1,963.85 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:12:14 P.M.
-5 min
51 tx
1,242.83 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:03:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
14,977.66 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:08:54 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
14,977.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:08:54 P.M.
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x0036001de3f5bfd9ee4056c71af5234a988202478d7cefedd279922f0cc999f8
1,500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:08:46 P.M.
From: 0x0077aB9c0169E6B1620FaD80F4A2a70ed1E26A5E
To: 0x000C325AFba59B33925234e86d22f7DeCE7a1D97
Tx: 0x0076000e06fddc1e85afacc85a24266c1b7c5fc835b703a920265eeb992b071a
104.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:08:46 P.M.
From: 0x0064Fbd982e770771641bb82F5961e900E3Bda88
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005600369dd4a5db36f566e053056317b4324ff92a91f714cbeddf0cf46b09e6
989.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:08:46 P.M.
From: 0x005fD8dA42EfA65295c252583fB7BAFe4f6E42AD
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c00545ab1bbf5443b9b0958b401e387720ca1510f36f4bb449d8f6fa024d6
120.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:08:46 P.M.
From: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0045004e0873ea8304af1b7eb711a22d4a3164524cdb83656c69982bce809f67