Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 4:57:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 4:57:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 4:58:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 111
Unexplained QUAI: 19,182.41
Explained QI: 4.11
Unexplained QI: 345.89
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
77x previous minute
174x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
3
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
19,293.41 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE • 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 19293 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE • 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 4:57:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
68.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Net receiver
Unknown type
68.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
42.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
42.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
Net sender
Unknown type
4.11 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
19,293.41 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:57:21 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
252.17 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:56:09 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
11,399.06 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:54:57 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
111 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:58:32 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate6 tx
24,123.03 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:53:37 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
4,438.74 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:59:44 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
81.56 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:00:55 P.M.
-5 min
6 tx
12,225.58 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:52:25 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
68.08 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:57:58 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
68.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:57:58 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x002a002eaa4f1be7afbafd9f625fc9bf542351336a590509bdd09e540d6b604c
42.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:57:45 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0069004fd3601dcf1a7fec2e4fd9dd881c99068873948bd0f475e8afbc79d9ad
4.11 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:57:14 P.M.
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x008e4ec74a781C3f6D59B5a02c58b9f668f82898
Tx: 0x006a00f60dafb24b182c048b50a3aa8ec91f9ebee388e21eba007936ecb4ffc1