Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 4:54:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 4:54:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 4:55:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
13% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,483.15
Unexplained QUAI: 9,915.91
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
5
83.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
11,399.06 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
77.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002a813475d4116D69CD81DD56e005663F485E49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 11399 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002a813475d4116D69CD81DD56e005663F485E49.
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354 -> 0x00e7998E6117D17B653c3519d07Cbc5a0ae5a328 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 4:54:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (87% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (13%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
1,352.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002a813475d4116D69CD81DD56e005663F485E49
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,352.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
Net sender
Unknown type
354.1 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00e7998E6117D17B653c3519d07Cbc5a0ae5a328
Net receiver
Unknown type
354.1 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
126.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354 → 0x00e7998E6117D17B653c3519d07Cbc5a0ae5a328
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 1,352.4 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
24,123.03 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:53:37 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
11,399.06 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:54:57 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
12,225.58 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:52:25 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
252.17 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:56:09 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate6 tx
79,146.62 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:50:58 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
19,293.41 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:57:21 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
30,052.37 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:49:46 P.M.
+5 min
2 tx
111 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:58:32 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,352.4 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:54:08 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002a813475d4116D69CD81DD56e005663F485E49
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
4.1 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:54:52 P.M.
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x00e7998E6117D17B653c3519d07Cbc5a0ae5a328
Tx: 0x003b00d4f69cab545fb0fb0f650c712b973bdf275d2ca1e97cabaa954e364924
126.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:54:52 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x0011004b63f47baae60a1110dba519f9dfa9f0d2f22f36928ec03aa01813ee78
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:54:33 P.M.
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x00e7998E6117D17B653c3519d07Cbc5a0ae5a328
Tx: 0x006e007e6426d932bc1b517acf3f05aa6c26e4f0bd855508eb32b46bfedc9159
4.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:54:11 P.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x004d001243fd0fe505ad31e44605ae8acfee6e0c206169437300affb87e7172c
1,352.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:54:08 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002a813475d4116D69CD81DD56e005663F485E49
Tx: 0x00570031e293d128c870128d73889e3ff7d8a456ac2555bd33e3c7a3139815b2