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Spike bucket

09/15/2026, 4:53:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/15/2026, 4:53:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 4:54:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
91% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 22,041.34
Unexplained QUAI: 2,081.69
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
2.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
24,123.03 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000A6F59C50344dfecf4663fD960F4DEb57204A0 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 24123 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000A6F59C50344dfecf4663fD960F4DEb57204A0 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354 -> 0x00Dd74Ef1bd96E4d9788F12A112dfAD3eD96eC2a (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 4:53:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x000A6F59C50344dfecf4663fD960F4DEb57204A0
Net sender
Unknown type
11,998.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
11,998.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
9,999.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,999.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
Net sender
Unknown type
358.21 QI across 3 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec3540x00Dd74Ef1bd96E4d9788F12A112dfAD3eD96eC2a
2 repeated flows350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

11,998.72 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:53:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000A6F59C50344dfecf4663fD960F4DEb57204A0
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions
4.1 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:53:45 P.M.
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x00Dd74Ef1bd96E4d9788F12A112dfAD3eD96eC2a
Tx: 0x001200ac07862e984042180edb677d0a5f534e89211d7c43b50a12b425b18bb2
43.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:53:42 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x000c005f2ec46067003140faa738348c4921332b7ade6e7e601fc9cf6277ec82
9,999.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:53:42 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Tx: 0x00290003125c48dd3128255f7a5e1c3fcea722e8538eec9e6009b2051b9dd855
Open txWallet profile
11,998.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:53:23 P.M.
From: 0x000A6F59C50344dfecf4663fD960F4DEb57204A0
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x004100639f8e602a4ba9989c7f0d119ce7a94da1f665929afa2d995642e7207e
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:53:23 P.M.
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x00Dd74Ef1bd96E4d9788F12A112dfAD3eD96eC2a
Tx: 0x005200654755f529f67b667ed127448250260abb918c964c832d37c36325f7b2
4.1 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:53:02 P.M.
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x009572E8BfF67F83533D266b040A38527ad4E437
Tx: 0x006800b18a6fb1a7ae2c2fd2098ba66f6371fd62e1cd1852fc0ebbf87cf1493f