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Spike bucket

09/15/2026, 4:52:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/15/2026, 4:52:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 4:53:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

99% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 12,124.31

Unexplained QUAI: 101.27

Explained QI: 350

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume

Relative context

0.6x above local average

0.2x previous minute

0.5x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

83.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

12,225.58 QUAI

350 QI

Avg confidence

84.8%

Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 12226 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.

0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354 -> 0x00d5c81F2F43c6a7efD137984b912e770f2EA150 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: address-path-single

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source address-path-single

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 09/15/2026, 4:52:00 P.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9

Net sender

Unknown type

12,000 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD

Net receiver

Unknown type

12,000 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354

Net sender

Unknown type

358.2 QI across 3 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x009572E8BfF67F83533D266b040A38527ad4E437

Net receiver

Unknown type

350 QI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061

Net sender

Unknown type

124.31 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354 → 0x00d5c81F2F43c6a7efD137984b912e770f2EA150

2 repeated flows • 8.2 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

5 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 6. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.