Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 4:49:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 4:49:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 4:50:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 60,000
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
30,052.37 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 30052 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354 -> 0x00961B2F617f43989cd4A45EE3DE4B1132A8604C (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 4:49:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
30,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
30,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007d1311b9B7D927b731c76009B99ea40845960f
Net sender
Unknown type
30,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007369C143693776976fdB92d91E093bC5AEe5dC
Net receiver
Unknown type
30,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
Net sender
Unknown type
354.1 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354 → 0x00961B2F617f43989cd4A45EE3DE4B1132A8604C
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:48:26 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
30,052.37 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:49:46 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:47:15 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate6 tx
79,146.62 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:50:58 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:46:04 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
12,225.58 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:52:25 P.M.
-4 min
9 tx
490.85 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:44:52 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
17.23 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:43:41 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
30,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:49:51 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
30,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:49:51 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x005e007f95c669b35ef155e7d310868c5335c642cdbd8caf46d0d303e69cf85d
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:49:51 P.M.
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x00961B2F617f43989cd4A45EE3DE4B1132A8604C
Tx: 0x0048000546bb2b6d8ec45c6fad5ac1f1d858a28fe264044814191b54ed2b7317
4.1 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:49:34 P.M.
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x00961B2F617f43989cd4A45EE3DE4B1132A8604C
Tx: 0x001c008a58ae170daa3f19897134d367503bc4010c46b0d93f89f20b1d4af759
30,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:49:07 P.M.
From: 0x007d1311b9B7D927b731c76009B99ea40845960f
To: 0x007369C143693776976fdB92d91E093bC5AEe5dC
Tx: 0x00150074375b199e31fbaa399c1a54c61f77e5e1c136b5ff5f9338344f4bd09e