Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 4:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 4:38:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 4:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,998.71
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 470
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
97x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
9,998.71 QUAI
470 QI
Avg confidence
84.8%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 9999 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354 -> 0x00F35b3e27589340758ed9A47a358060624FFFAe (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 4:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
9,998.71 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0074a53C94867b0D4a6cDA27fB60F803f14417d5
Net sender
Unknown type
4,998.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
Net sender
Unknown type
470 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00968a42F10366437b7E2B02359Bc52b6349Ba7C
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354 → 0x00F35b3e27589340758ed9A47a358060624FFFAe
2 repeated flows • 120 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate8 tx
4,005,140.21 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:37:41 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
9,998.71 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:38:52 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
103.36 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:36:29 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:40:03 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
141.15 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:35:18 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:41:18 P.M.
-4 min
10 tx
1,847.43 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:34:06 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
128.61 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:42:29 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:38:30 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:38:59 P.M.
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x00968a42F10366437b7E2B02359Bc52b6349Ba7C
Tx: 0x003d00531a34101c16cd8f6349deae89b16d6b24ab59f7db1ea64e0419b26600
20 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:38:59 P.M.
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x00F35b3e27589340758ed9A47a358060624FFFAe
Tx: 0x000000660623ef21181e731fd74a78937828dc7c37c29ce73ca10e1ac4fd69ed
4,998.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:38:30 P.M.
From: 0x0074a53C94867b0D4a6cDA27fB60F803f14417d5
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x00620013b0e66d34ae4c40684ab90f2e13a8ee8d8f5fe8512520e1a280a9723c
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:38:30 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x00560025341e8b6565b8bc8beede5ade6d51a860316e5f14d6ba4f7f718b4752
100 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:38:30 P.M.
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x00F35b3e27589340758ed9A47a358060624FFFAe
Tx: 0x0001000bde38d73506be1bef0d38203f6c260d34b4c39538cedb7f222d0c0ace