Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 4:34:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 4:34:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 4:35:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
15% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 274.21
Unexplained QUAI: 1,573.22
Explained QI: 700
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 73% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
13x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
6
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
1,847.43 QUAI
700 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354 • 0x009880bBaf023d354531cCf38e7f73BA0D4c75f2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1847 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354 • 0x009880bBaf023d354531cCf38e7f73BA0D4c75f2.
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354 -> 0x009880bBaf023d354531cCf38e7f73BA0D4c75f2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 4:34:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (85% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (15%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
Net sender
Unknown type
704.07 QI across 3 visible rows
0x009880bBaf023d354531cCf38e7f73BA0D4c75f2
Net receiver
Unknown type
354.07 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00F2370878B8d3b8bf5f4f14684aF3ccD5cDC2c9
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x0037870C9A0c085547d06A9dA041a3360407B954
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000C890Ba0aaE9B69EBFf8fAd1303391a9954917
Net receiver
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354 → 0x009880bBaf023d354531cCf38e7f73BA0D4c75f2
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
10 tx
1,847.43 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:34:06 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:32:52 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
141.15 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:35:18 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:31:36 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
103.36 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:36:29 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:30:21 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate8 tx
4,005,140.21 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:37:41 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:29:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:34:27 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x00F2370878B8d3b8bf5f4f14684aF3ccD5cDC2c9
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
4.07 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:34:29 P.M.
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x009880bBaf023d354531cCf38e7f73BA0D4c75f2
Tx: 0x000100acdbdf62f680fa1bb0cf9500bb236fcea1c0293fed31ec00146d775fbb
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:34:27 P.M.
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x00F2370878B8d3b8bf5f4f14684aF3ccD5cDC2c9
Tx: 0x0068001c1229b104ca4d49c09e41d727cc29d482be3350f6b975e8443a1513d3
69.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:34:03 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x0018003004d16f2441bc8e007bf899b72bba671f7c632b690fcaf03f1b7157e2
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:34:03 P.M.
From: 0x0037870C9A0c085547d06A9dA041a3360407B954
To: 0x000C890Ba0aaE9B69EBFf8fAd1303391a9954917
Tx: 0x003c00280f50b0e1ccc9518b4ed666a58f57168cb83f94f4fbf781767c3ebcde
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:34:03 P.M.
From: 0x004dd9AFAA2768642B5cDe15c24F37bF19d842E4
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00430021ffa921d5d8293a831107cad0a858f079c51fad8d3d49f24ffc6d9922
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:34:03 P.M.
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x009880bBaf023d354531cCf38e7f73BA0D4c75f2
Tx: 0x0001001ef6e976e6d3b0996486e0a0fa3342ab49d5c6ee48978f5f143e668037