Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 4:33:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 4:33:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 4:34:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,573.22
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 86% of explained volume
Relative context
5.9x above local average
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
1,573.22 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 1573 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354 -> 0x009880bBaf023d354531cCf38e7f73BA0D4c75f2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 4:33:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Net sender
Unknown type
1,355.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,355.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
Net sender
Unknown type
354.07 QI across 2 visible rows
0x009880bBaf023d354531cCf38e7f73BA0D4c75f2
Net receiver
Unknown type
354.07 QI across 2 visible rows
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
207.31 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354 → 0x009880bBaf023d354531cCf38e7f73BA0D4c75f2
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,355.91 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:32:52 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:31:36 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate10 tx
1,847.43 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:34:06 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
141.15 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:35:18 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:30:21 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
103.36 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:36:29 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:29:07 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
31.92 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:27:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,355.91 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:33:04 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
4.07 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:33:40 P.M.
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x009880bBaf023d354531cCf38e7f73BA0D4c75f2
Tx: 0x006d00a4f5cb82d3897e16b6fd08961765fef79a7fbec25f6efc6c104a86d3c7
90.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:33:11 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00240044d4b9f9416ed914a8cbb97fb7f437f83be1f25ea418308245d0c2d767
116.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:33:11 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0043002830601f0990c0c474a7a5e81b722cbc89e9c2e91acf0a6d3920576789
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:33:11 P.M.
From: 0x004dd9AFAA2768642B5cDe15c24F37bF19d842E4
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Tx: 0x005400014942ca51a5e8b42d0b934f4f6db9b452a4ae2b50a1db123e912bae2c
1,355.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:33:04 P.M.
From: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004500212305d23b0b56c71d8b46d685353806f4e5c19c4a9993f685b37589ef
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:33:04 P.M.
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x009880bBaf023d354531cCf38e7f73BA0D4c75f2
Tx: 0x000400264ea70c08a7bcd2f0808518052975945984e346e5856c8e90c3982870