Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 4:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 4:14:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 4:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,672.37
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
4.4x above local average
1.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
19,672.37 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 19672 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 4:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,014.91 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Net sender
Unknown type
9,998.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
9,601.63 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00655E9a1A1dD476650d16FCD471A0153fD8D2c1
Net sender
Unknown type
8,599.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,002.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 9,601.63 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1,002.63 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:13:57 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
11,248.18 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:12:46 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
19,672.37 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:15:09 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
61.54 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:16:27 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
2,989.95 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:11:29 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
52.56 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:10:18 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
28.23 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:17:51 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
436.86 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:08:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,998.01 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:14:49 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
16.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:14:49 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004b001918b40b4b3dd0f73791ed3d005fd0f917a3b02b6f30925e59e880583d
9,998.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:14:49 P.M.
From: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006d0037b3ed83a5cf7c1f948cdc4aba1a9a58c10eb9be139a1d91e0e3191d6b
55.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:14:39 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x00790053f75b798c54215e942a9feb3586049f8ef35a6e4eb7d81edb7d784ab0
8,599.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:14:39 P.M.
From: 0x00655E9a1A1dD476650d16FCD471A0153fD8D2c1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c002ba7c668ef92b9bb2bbfdb793a74b64d146e5f5d0f6773e1e96e871188
1,002.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:14:39 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00180017df63efc2f14bedde7604839ab838e8e50bbbe6eeb010cfb4fcf2d136