Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 4:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 4:11:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 4:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
53% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,598.18
Unexplained QUAI: 1,391.78
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
57x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
2,989.95 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6 • 0x00031B3bAB81Dc2CE40AE7aF79111d8CC0Dac55E.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 2990 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6 • 0x00031B3bAB81Dc2CE40AE7aF79111d8CC0Dac55E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 4:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (47% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (53%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
Net sender
Unknown type
1,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00031B3bAB81Dc2CE40AE7aF79111d8CC0Dac55E
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
98.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
98.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
2,989.95 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:11:29 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
52.56 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:10:18 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
436.86 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:08:59 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
11,248.18 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:12:46 P.M.
-3 min
7 tx
421.4 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:07:48 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1,002.63 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:13:57 P.M.
-4 min
57 tx
1,218.18 QUAI • 74 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:06:36 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate5 tx
19,672.37 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:15:09 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,500 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:11:28 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x00031B3bAB81Dc2CE40AE7aF79111d8CC0Dac55E
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
98.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:11:28 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x003900094b4f2d365153152339368100bb0d404d145f706c86428faa3cb16837
1,500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:11:28 P.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x00031B3bAB81Dc2CE40AE7aF79111d8CC0Dac55E
Tx: 0x00140013a86c014e4074a682847f4518605d2088f9268590ad77366e94544106