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Spike bucket

09/15/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/15/2026, 4:07:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 4:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 539.14
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
9.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
421.4 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040232101954b4C520Ef8A93475f5dD113Bfe66 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 421 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040232101954b4C520Ef8A93475f5dD113Bfe66 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0040232101954b4C520Ef8A93475f5dD113Bfe66
Net sender
Unknown type
195.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
195.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
177.97 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
117.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Net receiver
Unknown type
117.75 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

195.51 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:07:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040232101954b4C520Ef8A93475f5dD113Bfe66
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
117.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:07:52 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x0059000a911ce0841dd501be408fa5a453c00297b564b89bc894a52bf18bdd35
47.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:07:05 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0074006974a6e1376d718dce0433735798f97ea50c9850a562b3464526210e79
60.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:07:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x006d0022c81cfc2a8e60b92e72353307b1522f85994bad7628589be1a48fe4d7
87.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:07:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x003d0015fecd442382a951b320671888956b21b775eb73fea0dc48734970c265
4.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:07:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x0053000a0f7632b1a20aa7e741da05e1aced58c8d2da16f426dc3fde0fb0d0b4
20.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:07:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x0005002fa11e6a42e560a426b8764b8cef411bb11dfca7159c480735c571d2bc
5.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:07:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005581090aB83408A97aa15376EC84Fb3dbdEa45
Tx: 0x001a003f2939ff24ce45b55c6e1f8eb0c471d4203fcbf19927b1103fcbec6fd9
195.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:07:05 P.M.
From: 0x0040232101954b4C520Ef8A93475f5dD113Bfe66
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0072007035a3b2d5eff72b8675d14ff9a8195bda3285a2cf654154c135908465
Open txWallet profile