Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 4:07:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 4:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 539.14
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
9.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
421.4 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040232101954b4C520Ef8A93475f5dD113Bfe66 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 421 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040232101954b4C520Ef8A93475f5dD113Bfe66 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040232101954b4C520Ef8A93475f5dD113Bfe66
Net sender
Unknown type
195.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
195.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
177.97 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
117.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Net receiver
Unknown type
117.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
57 tx
1,218.18 QUAI • 74 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:06:36 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
421.4 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:07:48 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
43.32 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:05:22 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
436.86 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:08:59 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:04:04 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
52.56 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:10:18 P.M.
-4 min
55 tx
862.51 QUAI • 72 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:02:51 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate1 tx
2,989.95 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:11:29 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
195.51 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:07:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040232101954b4C520Ef8A93475f5dD113Bfe66
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
117.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:07:52 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x0059000a911ce0841dd501be408fa5a453c00297b564b89bc894a52bf18bdd35
47.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:07:05 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0074006974a6e1376d718dce0433735798f97ea50c9850a562b3464526210e79
60.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:07:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x006d0022c81cfc2a8e60b92e72353307b1522f85994bad7628589be1a48fe4d7
87.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:07:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x003d0015fecd442382a951b320671888956b21b775eb73fea0dc48734970c265
4.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:07:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x0053000a0f7632b1a20aa7e741da05e1aced58c8d2da16f426dc3fde0fb0d0b4
20.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:07:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x0005002fa11e6a42e560a426b8764b8cef411bb11dfca7159c480735c571d2bc
5.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:07:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005581090aB83408A97aa15376EC84Fb3dbdEa45
Tx: 0x001a003f2939ff24ce45b55c6e1f8eb0c471d4203fcbf19927b1103fcbec6fd9
195.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 4:07:05 P.M.
From: 0x0040232101954b4C520Ef8A93475f5dD113Bfe66
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0072007035a3b2d5eff72b8675d14ff9a8195bda3285a2cf654154c135908465
