Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 3:56:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 3:56:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 3:57:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,700.05
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
92.35 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 92 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 3:56:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
Net sender
Unknown type
21,238.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
21,238.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
Net sender
Unknown type
277.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Net receiver
Unknown type
277.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
92.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 21,238.1 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate7 tx
196,270.62 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:55:23 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
92.35 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:56:42 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
164,696.93 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:54:11 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
21,607.69 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:57:53 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:52:55 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
140 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:59:08 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
185,785.84 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:51:42 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
465.22 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 4:00:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
21,238.1 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:56:43 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
91.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:56:57 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x003d00287457a497e94667479ccc8a1818ad5c4ba055a35f89dec73fa87a4334
277.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:56:57 P.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x0068006e0b3f8a62585e28e3880dd8da9db96150e20c6fbfe6c694506fd323be
21,238.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:56:43 P.M.
From: 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b002920a693a95bd749bb2120cad72347a8e03451baee0bbae8f63abde774
92.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:56:24 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00680000b6e2e137b45f7073b18b7f44c53a974d6d0dd36540f55e672d176e46