Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 3:53:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 3:53:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 3:54:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 164,696.93
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
164,696.93 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A • 0x00054502942e719260057BfA87a3E575a116a213.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 164697 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 66
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A • 0x00054502942e719260057BfA87a3E575a116a213.
0x00591a40D55b20a9d11Af2B5CAE759F493B6FDBD -> 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 3:53:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
142,427.97 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00054502942e719260057BfA87a3E575a116a213
Net sender
Unknown type
98,902.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00591a40D55b20a9d11Af2B5CAE759F493B6FDBD
Net sender
Unknown type
43,525.41 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639
Net sender
Unknown type
21,238.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
Net receiver
Unknown type
21,238.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00591a40D55b20a9d11Af2B5CAE759F493B6FDBD → 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
2 repeated flows • 43,525.41 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:52:55 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
185,785.84 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:51:42 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
164,696.93 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:54:11 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate7 tx
196,270.62 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:55:23 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
149.94 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:50:19 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
13,310.2 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:49:02 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
92.35 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:56:42 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
8,538.34 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:47:39 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
98,902.57 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:53:38 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00054502942e719260057BfA87a3E575a116a213
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
30.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:53:38 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x006f0048214e3f9d888d0eed1fe6bcd793cb54f16ae560f00953f7a5aa0be9ed
98,902.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:53:38 P.M.
From: 0x00054502942e719260057BfA87a3E575a116a213
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0011001b0502bd5241ee2de3c0439683b0755801b8e0aefe7fca0f6fd7b08071
20,835.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:53:38 P.M.
From: 0x00591a40D55b20a9d11Af2B5CAE759F493B6FDBD
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003d001027978d4967f4e36db81cf4732d2c607273d99d242defbbdedcebb2e9
21,238.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:53:17 P.M.
From: 0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639
To: 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
Tx: 0x0039000e042748bf48dc8e6dc3aba0ac594c3432da8073c8edbe9563250aa411
22,690.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:53:17 P.M.
From: 0x00591a40D55b20a9d11Af2B5CAE759F493B6FDBD
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007c0039ddac08407a09d43785c67ea235ba78bc487f55a61ab40e07c1832619
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:53:17 P.M.
From: 0x0077aB9c0169E6B1620FaD80F4A2a70ed1E26A5E
To: 0x0067C8E6e9A7ed32b1a56B1A9DEcB36e3E1587a6
Tx: 0x001600703d898623156ff714c6ebe63221dde837d4b8544d712d775a292b52e5
